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      财经资讯 | 原油 | 黄金 | 白银 | 外汇 | 期货 | 贵金属 | 现货 | 网站地图
      您的位置:首页 > 外汇 > 10月25日外汇交易提醒

      10月25日外汇交易提醒

      2018-10-25 17:42:12 作者:admin 点击:

      外汇市场主要货币对昨日(10月24日)整体波动较大,美元指数上涨,因美股暴跌提振避险买盘,且欧洲数据显示欧元区经济增长可能普遍放缓,这变

      外汇市场主要货币对昨日(10月24日)整体波动较大,美元指数上涨,因美股暴跌提振避险买盘,且欧洲数据显示欧元区经济增长可能普遍放缓,这变相打压了欧元。因美国股市普遍大跌引发VIX恐慌指数大幅飙升涨至25上方,为10月12日以来首次,凸显市场避险情绪严重。今日(10月25日)需持续关注这些事件的影响,并需关注美国9月耐用品订单月率、截至10月20日当周初请失业金人数、及欧洲央行公布利率决议。此次预计欧洲央行将维持利率不变。


      美元日内相对其他非美货币仍走势强劲,美元指数再度刷新近两个月以来的新高。欧元兑美元周三在欧元区诸多利空消息打击下续跌,失守1.14关口,而这也使得汇价已运行于所有均线系统的下方,下行趋势已清晰无疑。在欧洲市场局势短期难有明显起色的状况下,欧元兑美元仍将面临更多下跌压力,后市将打开更大的下行空间。


      英镑重挫失守1.29,脱欧不确定性令投资者更加噤若寒蝉;英镑兑美元在周三延续跌势,日内更是失守1.29关口,跌至自9月初以来七周低位。在英国脱欧谈判无进展的背景下,资金正选择进一步逃离。甚至英国央行官员早先已警告称,在脱欧谈判失利的状况下,英镑仍有巨大下跌空间。日内稍早,有媒体撰文称,英国脱欧进程可能会拖延的上好几年时间,虽然英国官方此后出面辟谣称,不太可能出现脱欧过渡期“没完没了”的状况,但市场信心却受到惊吓,预计后市英镑会进一步下跌。

      重要经济数据一览

      时间区域指标前值
      14:00德国11月Gfk消费者信心指数10.6
      16:00德国10月IFO商业景气指数103.7
      19:45欧元区10月欧洲央行主要再融资利率(%)0.00
      20:30美国9月耐用品订单月率初值(%)4.4
      20:30美国截至10月20日当周初请失业金人数(万)21.0
      20:30美国9月批发库存月率初值(%)1.0
      22:00美国9月季调后成屋签约销售指数月率(%)-1.8


      07:00 美联储理事布雷纳德(LaelBrainard)发表讲话

      19:45 欧洲央行公布利率决议

      20:30 欧洲央行行长德拉基(MarioDraghi)召开新闻发布会

      全球投行观点汇总


      荷兰国际:将欧元兑美元的短线走势预期从中性调整为看空;

      荷兰国际集团分析师表示,欧元兑美元短期跌破上行趋势线1.1465附近后,欧元下行动能开始释放,日线上看该货币对自9月底高位1.1800附近开始已经不断创造新低,因此将欧元兑美元的短线走势预期从中性调整为看空,只要维持在1.1415下方就将延续跌势,若跌破1.1301则将加大下行动能。


      巴克莱:意大利预算冲突持续,欧元兑美元涨势受抑;

      ①巴克莱分析师称,未来几个月欧元兑美元将无法大幅升值,随着意大利和欧盟之间的预算纠纷加剧,货币市场波动将加剧;

      ②巴克莱汇市策略师NikolaosSgouropoulos表示,在当前水平,许多负面因素已经被定价,而短期走势主要取决于两件事,第一个是欧盟与意大利政府预算讨论的结果;第二,评级机构对意大利的评级报告;

      ③意大利政府的预算草案明确和有意背离了意大利去年7月作出的承诺,欧盟拒绝了意大利的预算案并不奇怪,不过大门并没有关闭,欧盟经济事务专员PierreMoscovici表示仍希望和意大利当局举行积极的对话。


      法国兴业银行:宜低买欧元兑瑞郎,目标上看1.1950;

      法国兴业银行讨论了欧元兑瑞郎前景,维持看涨立场,建议投资者们逢低买入,目前已建立多头仓位,上行目标为1.1950;该行仍认为虽然当前冒险情绪较为脆弱,但仍宜买入诸如欧元兑瑞郎等交叉盘,如此前所解释,若有必要瑞士央行将实施外汇干预和负利率的政策组合,极有可能削弱瑞郎的避险属性,此外瑞郎投机仓位持续大致平衡,本周的外汇持仓数据确认了这一点,这将令瑞郎存在平仓相关的上行风险;欧洲央行货币政策立场可能转为更显鸽派,虽然欧元区政局不确定性提升,反之暗示较宽阔的货币政策分化将最终推高欧元兑瑞郎。

      注意:上述资料不应被视为金融市场上投资建议或指导性意见,仅作为阅读参考使用。金融交易有风险,投资需谨慎。

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