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      财经资讯 | 原油 | 黄金 | 白银 | 外汇 | 期货 | 贵金属 | 现货 | 网站地图
      您的位置:首页 > 现货 > 10月30日现货黄金、白银、原油、外汇短线交易策略

      10月30日现货黄金、白银、原油、外汇短线交易策略

      2018-10-30 13:57:14 作者:admin 点击:

      周二(10月30日)亚洲时段,美元指数暂时高位震荡,美联储的加息前景仍在给汇价提供支撑,而市场对国际贸易局势的担忧有所升温,美元有望震荡

      周二(10月30日)亚洲时段,美元指数暂时高位震荡,美联储的加息前景仍在给汇价提供支撑,而市场对国际贸易局势的担忧有所升温,美元有望震荡上探前期高点96.98附近阻力;现货黄金则小幅走弱,受到贸易局势和强势美元的压制,短线偏向震荡下行;原油市场,需求前景不佳,主要产油国出现供给增加的迹象,油价也偏向震荡下探。

      图片点击可在新窗口打开查看★10月30日金融市场热点:

      1、德国10月份就业数据;

      2、意大利三季度GDP数据;

      3、欧元区10月工业景气指数;

      4、欧元区三季度GDP数据;

      5、德国10月CPI数据;

      6、API原油库存数据(次日凌晨);

      7、国际贸易局势相关消息;

      8、意大利预算相关消息。


      注:本策略偏向技术面分析,基本面方面读者还需留意小编要闻关于市场热点的解析文章;任何时候行情都会有多种变数,本策略主要是描述概率相对较大的情况。


      ★10月30日现货黄金、白银、原油、外汇短线走势分析


      1、美元指数


      解析:美国经济数据依然比较乐观,市场对本周美国其他经济数据的预期也偏向乐观,而且市场对贸易局势的担忧情绪有所升温,更多资金买入美元避险,美元指数有望延续涨势;技术面也偏向看多后市,关注逾一年高位96.98附近阻力的突破情况。


      日线级别:震荡上涨;均线多头排列,MACD金叉运行,KDJ金叉,布林线开口,汇价有望继续演布林线上轨向上运行,不过上方正好面临8月15日高点96.98附近阻力,该位置也是2017年7月份以来的高点,能否上破还有待观察。


      如果上破该位置,则有望打开新的上涨空间,进一步较强的阻力在97.87附近,该位置是103.82-88.24跌势的61.8%回撤位;另外,2017年6月27日高点阻力在97.45附近。


      下方初步支撑在5日均线95.54附近,10日均线支撑在96.19附近,若意外失守该位置,则削弱看涨信号。

      图片点击可在新窗口打开查看(美元指数日线图)


      4小时级别:震荡上涨,尽管汇价在高位出现了“吞没看空”信号,但受到了上涨趋势线的支撑,KDJ重新结成金叉,暗示高位调整已经结束,有望再攀新高,初步阻力在布林线上轨96.88附近,若上破该位置,则增加看涨信号。


      下方初步支撑在布林线中轨96.45附近,然后是96.27附近支撑,若意外失守该位置,则增加短线下行风险,布林线下轨支撑在96.03附近。

      图片点击可在新窗口打开查看(美元指数4小时图)


      阻力:96.88;97.00;97.45;97.87;

      支撑:96.45;96.19;96.02;95.83。


      结论:偏向延续涨势或者高位震荡。


      2、现货黄金


      解析:美国经济数据相对强劲,美联储加息前景依然令金价承压,而且市场对国际贸易局势的担忧情绪再度升温,美元再获避险资金青睐,有望震荡攀高,也对金价不利;不过黄金ETF持仓有所增加,需要警惕。


      日线级别:局部震荡筑顶;金价在布林线上轨附近受阻,也未能有效升破前期跌势的38.2%回撤位1238.52附近阻力,重要阻力位附近录得倒锤子线后紧跟阴线,KDJ死叉运行,MACD红色柱萎缩,有结成死叉的迹象,金价短线初步见顶;关注10月22日低点1220附近支撑,100日均线支撑也在该位置附近,若失守该位置,则增加看空信号;强支撑在8月28日高点1214.25附近,若进一步下破,则增加看空信号。


      上方5日均线阻力在1231.47附近,然后隔夜高点1235.42附近也形成了一些阻力;若意外回升至该位置上方,则削弱短线看空信号。

      图片点击可在新窗口打开查看(现货黄金日线图)


      4小时级别:震荡;MACD死叉,布林线收口后轻微开口,短线偏向下行,初步支撑在1220.00附近,然后是1215.60附近,较强的支撑在1210.37附近;能否进一步下破还有待观察。


      不过,KDJ在接近超卖区有结成金叉的迹象,上方留意布林线上轨1231.67附近阻力,若收复该位置,则削弱短线看空信号;布林线上轨阻力在1237.05附近。

      图片点击可在新窗口打开查看(现货黄金4小时图)


      阻力:1231.67;1235.42;1238.52;1243.40;1248.51;

      支撑:1220.00;1214.25;1210.37;1204.08;1200.00。

      小编短线操作建议:观望或逢高做空。


      3、现货白银


      日线级别:震荡;MACD初步结成死叉,KDJ也死叉运行,银价初步失守布林线中轨和上涨趋势线支撑,短线偏向下行,可能会进一步试探布林线下轨14.26附近支撑;如果进一步下破,则可能重新试探前期低点13.92附近支撑。


      如果坚守14.26附近支撑,则需要继续关注布林线轨道14.26-14.81区域的突破情况。


      短线布林线中轨14.53已经转化为初步阻力所在,10月24日低点阻力在14.56附近,在收复该位置前,后市偏向下行。


      若银价意外收复上一交易日全部跌幅,则增加看涨信号。

      图片点击可在新窗口打开查看(现货白银日线图)


      阻力:14.56;14.81;14.91;15.00;15.22;

      支撑:14.26;14.16;14.00;13.92;13.64。


      结论:收复14.56前,后市偏向下行。


      特别提醒1:投资者需要认清一点,对于普通投资者来说,大部分时间应该以观望为主,耐心等待最好的机会出手,避免频繁交易是公认的致胜法宝之一。不要企图抓住全部的波动,也不要奢望对每一段行情都判断正确。


      特别提醒2:本策略偏向短线和日内交易,对于隔夜未触及盈利目标的单子,投资者若有把握,则继续持有,止盈止损微调或不变;若没有把握,则直接平仓观望。喜欢和尚策略的读者可以在评论区点赞,也可以提一些建议,小编会综合参考,因策略中包含价位过多,个别编辑错误和不足之处还请多多包涵。

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