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      您的位置:首页 > 原油 > 多重因素致油价断崖式暴跌,EIA恐火上浇油

      多重因素致油价断崖式暴跌,EIA恐火上浇油

      2018-10-24 16:49:12 作者:admin 点击:

      周三(10月24日),亚盘盘中,油价疲软,延续前一交易日跌势。油价周二大跌约5%,至两个月低位,因沙特称,如有必要可能迅速增加原油供应,

      周三(10月24日),亚盘盘中,油价疲软,延续前一交易日跌势。油价周二大跌约5%,至两个月低位,因沙特称,如有必要可能迅速增加原油供应,这缓解了美国对伊朗制裁生效前的供应忧虑。此外,全球股市遭抛售引发对需求增长的担忧。

      全球最大的石油出口国沙特阿拉伯周二表示,将以更快的速度增加原油产量,以应对两周后对伊朗实施出口制裁导致供应紧张的紧张局面。

      截止当前,美油现报66.33美元/桶,日内跌幅0.15%;布伦特原油现报76.38美元/桶,跌幅0.08%。两份原油合约均录得7月以来最大单日百分比跌幅,现在建议采取观望态度,看这情况是否会持续下去,从而演变成失控状态。

      而就在三周前,WTI原油触及2014年11月的高点76.47美元,而布伦特原油也飙升至86.73美元的四年高点。

      油价的暴跌也受到美股跌势的影响,因对公司盈利增长的担忧和意大利预算忧虑,导致投资者纷纷逃离股市。MSCI明晟全球市场指数一度下跌超过2%,触及2017年9月以来最低。

      沙特在供应问题上的新立场,加上美国API原油库存连续第五周增加,以及全球股市暴跌,导致油价当日下跌近5%。交易商表示,如果美国原油价格跌破重要心理大关65美元,可能引发更多技术性卖盘。

      沙特欲增加原油供应以填补缺口

      沙特眼下似乎倾向于向市场提供尽可能多的石油,并修复其在世界眼中受损的形象。此前因知名记者被杀事件,导致沙特“深陷?;?rdquo;,许多西方国家表达对沙特政府及王储萨尔曼的不满。

      沙特能源部长法力赫周二在利雅得举行的一个大会上称,油市“状况良好”,他表示,沙特希望OPEC+在12月签署一项协议,以扩大在监测和稳定油市方面的合作。

      法力赫表示,沙特方面将决定是否出现供应受扰,尤其是在伊朗制裁即将到来的情况下。目前的想法是——满足未来出现的任何需求,以确??突?。

      美国对伊朗石油行业的制裁将于11月4日生效,目前距离正式制裁还剩两周时间。美国政府曾表示,希望阻断伊朗所有的燃料出口,但其它产油国正在增加产量,以填补任何可能出现的供应缺口。

      此前市场一直担心沙特可能会削减原油供应,以报复因记者卡舒吉被杀而可能遭受的制裁。法力赫对此强调称,沙特无意这样做,不排除未来沙特原油产量较当前水准高出100-200万桶/日的可能性。

      沙特石油公司首席执行官表示,沙特只要三个月就能达到1200万桶/日的最高产能。

      API原油库存再度超预期大增,留意晚间EIA

      凌晨,美国石油协会(API)公布的数据显示,原油库存大幅增加988万桶,预期增加355万桶;汽油库存减少285万桶,精炼油库存减少235万桶。数据公布后,美油短线快速走低,再度跌破66美元关口。

      知名金融博客零对冲表示,市场对沙特就产量作出置评后,美油从日内低点略微反弹。API公布原油库存大增988万桶,创2017年2月来最大增幅,油价再度跌向65美元关口。

      此外,美国EIA原油库存数据也将于日内晚些时候公布,原油投资者对此数据仍需保持高度重视。此前,EIA原油库存已连续四周大幅增长,加上凌晨API原油库存大增,EIA原油库存大概率预计仍维持涨势。一旦库存增长,将再度引发油价短线下跌,美油或失守65美元一线的支撑。

      近来,交易员一直在减少原油期货多头头寸来抑制对原油市场的敞口。数据显示,在过去的三周里,基金管理公司将其合并头寸削减1.87亿桶。


      截至北京时间10月24日09:00,美国WTI原油现报66.32美元/桶。

      注意:上述资料不应被视为金融市场上投资建议或指导性意见,仅作为阅读参考使用。金融交易有风险,投资需谨慎。

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