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      财经资讯 | 原油 | 黄金 | 白银 | 外汇 | 期货 | 贵金属 | 现货 | 网站地图
      您的位置:首页 > 原油 > 美油本月骤跌10%,EIA来袭恐推波助澜

      美油本月骤跌10%,EIA来袭恐推波助澜

      2018-10-31 17:10:06 作者:admin 点击:

      周三(10月31日),亚盘盘中,油价回升。油价周二触及两个半月低点,因受供应上升及全球贸易担忧拖累,国际能源署(IEA)官员的讲话并没有帮

      周三(10月31日),亚盘盘中,油价回升。油价周二触及两个半月低点,因受供应上升及全球贸易担忧拖累,国际能源署(IEA)官员的讲话并没有帮助油价复苏。

      国际能源署署长比罗尔在能源会议上表示,在全球经济活动放缓之际,高油价正在损害消费者,并可能削弱燃料需求。国际能源机构是西方世界的能源监督机构。


      截止当前,美油报66.47美元/桶,日内涨幅0.44%,此前曾触及两个半月低点65.36美元;布伦特原油报67.36美元/桶,日内涨幅0.55%。

      全球石油需求增长面临两大下行压力。一个是高油价,在许多国家,它与消费者价格直接相关。第二是全球经济增长势头放缓。


      美油本周开始下跌近2%,原因是自市场担心美国开始对伊朗石油实施制裁以来,市场在8月和9月上涨了太多。美国WTI原油在9月份上涨5%,8月份上涨1.5%之后,10月份的跌幅接近10%;ICE布伦特原油继9月上涨7%、8月份上涨逾4%之后,10月份预计将下跌8%。

      原油制裁进入倒计时

      自从特朗普5月份取消了与伊朗的核协议,并恢复对世界第四大石油出口国的制裁以来。随着11月4日原油制裁的逼近,人们一直怀疑他是否能像他承诺的那样,将伊朗的石油销量降至零。

      尽管美国即将对伊朗石油出口实施制裁,但来自俄罗斯、美国和沙特这三大原油生产国的原油产量在9月首次达到3300万桶/日。这表明石油供应依然充裕。


      沙特阿拉伯本月早些时候承诺提高石油产量以抵消预计由美国制裁造成的伊朗出口下降,而俄罗斯上周六(10月27日)也表示该国没有理由削减产量。


      石油市场开始关注世界许多地区可能出现的供过于求和库存问题。鉴于制裁对伊朗石油生产和出口能力的影响仍不可知,在11月4日之前我们可能会看到一些投机性买盘出现。

      API原油库存增幅再度超预期

      凌晨时段,美国石油协会(API)公布的数据显示,美国截至10月26日当周API原油库存超预期增加569万桶,预期增加366.7万桶;汽油库存减少346万桶;精炼油库存减少308万桶。数据公布后,美油跌幅收窄至1%。

      知名金融博客零对冲表示,API原油库存超预期增加569万桶,且是连续6周录得增加。不过,精炼油和汽油库存降幅均超预期,这两项库存下降抵消了原油库存增加带来的利空影响,并提振油价短线收窄跌幅。


      据悉,为降低石油生产面临的安全风险、进一步提高生产潜力,尼日利亚目前正在大力开发海上油田,有望使原油产量增加约10%。包括雪佛龙公司、壳牌公司在内的石油巨头也都开始投资开发尼海上油田项目,预计到2022年尼原油产量将创新高。


      另一方面,美国EIA库存报告也将于日内晚间公布。若美国原油库存再度增长,这将是连续第六周库存增长,从而进一步抵消下周美国制裁伊朗给油市带来的供应紧缺风险,不利油价上行。

      注意:上述资料不应被视为金融市场上投资建议或指导性意见,仅作为阅读参考使用。金融交易有风险,投资需谨慎。

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